Saturday’s bets of the day include a choice of all four Premier League games, the Australian Open, cricket, Six Nations rugby, boxing and racing.
Soccer betting tips
Given the contrasting form of the two teams, it’s a surprise to see LEICESTERwho have now welcomed Jamie Vardy for the win as a big 5/2 underdog after injury. Only one of the last 13 games in all competitions has ended in defeat. Liverpool’s record over the same period has seen five defeats.
Taking the double chance in favor of the home team makes a decent 4-5 at Sky Bet, and that’s a bet that can’t be completely disregarded if you don’t hit enough money, but it’s worth it, Leicester for the Victory support the odds offered.
Even with their only loss in recent weeks, Leicester still saw better odds with the Infogol Expected Goals Battle won with a score of 2.18 to 1.97. While the full-time result is really important, it shows they had scoring opportunities and if Vardy had been on the pitch they might have scored more than once.
RUBEN DIAS made unstoppable on a team at Man City that is prone to rotation. Regular solid performances mean he has played his part in the strong association with John Stones, but the surprise is that he hasn’t scored a goal this season.
The center-back scores an average shot in every other game and has scored his first goal in the City colors on numerous occasions. With a high corner number for the hosts, Dias is worth a 10/1 game to score anytime on Saturday.
BURNLEY A win at 12/5 is an excellent chance considering how unlucky the club were on the expected goals table and that they only beat Liverpool and Aston Villa last month.
The Lancashire side have a strong record against Palace and have won the last two games 1-0. That is also worth a game 8-1.
The price looks even better when you consider that two of Burnley’s last three away wins have ended 1-0, including the memorable night at Anfield where Liverpool’s 68-game home game ended undefeated in the Premier League.
In attack, Crystal Palace has only achieved an xG of one or more once in the last 10 league games. And Roy Hodgson also has to do without star player Wilfried Zaha, who is still recovering from a thigh injury.
I think ROSS BARKLEY scores in this game. Back as a regular starter, the former England international found the net against Southampton three games ago.
The last five goals Brighton conceded in the league were all against midfielders. Johann Berg Gudmundsson from Burnley, Phil Foden from Manchester City and Ruben Neves as well as Romain Saiss from Wolves found a way past Robert Sanchez.
I think Potter’s side are likely to double against Jack Grealish, just like West Ham did so effectively in their 3-1 win at Villa Park last week. If that’s the case, Barkley will have a lot more time on the ball.
Race betting tips
Looking for a value TWILIGHT HEIR This could cause his three rivals to gain weight in the Get Your Ladbrokes Daily Odds Boost Handicap.
A gelding since last season, Michael Bell’s protégé has made some consistent efforts as a youth and is 8 pounds better off for half the length he was beaten by recent double Southwell scorer Secret Handsheikh in Bath last July.
Twilight Heir, who next emerged victorious at Catterick, was beaten to second place on shared favorites at Ripon, length away 4lb in third reception.
In that form, a grade of 80 looks forgiving, and while it’s understandable he’s the underdog of four against horses that have had seven hits in all weathers lately (but have put up a lot in the weights), Cieran could Fallon’s mount can be underestimated in betting.
APEX KING has looked pretty good lately since returning to former handler David Loughnane, finishing a tight fourth on his return from a layoff in Wolverhampton before not rubbing the green here for the last time.
He was too sharp and landed too far for Hollie Doyle on the occasion, but was still beaten only a length and a half in fifth. He has won handicaps with marks of 77, 83 and 73 in the past, two of which came via this route and trip. So 75 is more than manageable, and I wouldn’t expect Luke Morris to want to mess around with a little signed pace upstairs.
If he can chase you and hit the turn then you suspect that will be the plan since a messy affair doesn’t suit this horse, but there are few who are better than Morris at getting the best of you tactical puzzle to make Lingfield.
At 5/1, Apex King will rate the afternoon’s bet.
There was a lot to like AZTEC DREAMS ‘ First run for Richard Rowe after a long hiatus at Lingfield on January 2nd and worth playing on the same track at Betway Casino Handicap on Saturday.
After moving from France, where he had last run for 438 days, he was sent off at 80/1. It was clearly a connections intelligence mission and they realized they have a horse that can win the race.
Just beaten two and a half lengths after driving sharply early on, he was also slightly handicapped on the straights so overall it was a very encouraging stable debut.
The shape of this race has proven itself. Two of the horses he struck that day, Starfighter and Pink Jazz, then won. After a good draw, he looks like a bet to build in double digits on this final run.
Man on site
The inevitable result has placed itself in two subsequent starts since the win in Wolverhampton, while Garth Rockett found too good an over track and trip with the previous winner Desert Land. Mike Murphy’s indictment also hit Cappananty Con in Chelmsford last year, and the latter was successful here two weeks ago.
But SAVE THE SPIRIT (NAP) is less exposed and after finding 7f too far on his handicap debut, David O’Meara is given another chance at his victorious journey.
Cricket betting tips
India has come to rely on CHETESHWAR PUJARA and he is backed to register a century in the second test.
Pujura, India’s rock in third place, came into this streak due to another strong performance Down Under, and his first 73 innings confirmed he continues to be in excellent contact and has likely left him eager to get the big score in which he has proven so adept at providing throughout his career.
Pujara has already had 18 centuries of testing – five come no less against England – and while I found in my series preview that he could still be a touch for the short ball, the slowness of the Chennai field just got that threat out of the way Equation taken.
Since the conditions for the second test shouldn’t be very different and Jofra Archer is out, Pujara will certainly make a big contribution.
Rugby Union Betting Tips
There is nothing thin BILLY VUNIPOLA except for the 29/20 (bet365) that he is always a goalscorer. His physical condition was criticized last week but he is among the top performers in England when he plays against the Italians.
The Saracens man will do all the better for his blowout against Scotland and is a reasonable 10/1 for being the man of the game. With Ben Earl’s sizable frame lurking in the shadows, he needs a big game and is supported to produce it.
Tennis betting tips
SHELBY ROGERS looks best at 6/4 to beat Anett Kontaveit, a player who can be shaky. The Latvian battled to fend off Britain’s Heather Watson on Thursday and should face a tougher test against the formally strong Rogers.
The American’s game coincides with the fast places in Melbourne this year. Last week, Rogers got Ash Barty, the world number 1, on a match tie break, when in this case she has had two straight wins so far with only two break points.
Her start into 2021 builds on a formidable post-lockdown in 2020 when she defeated Serena Williams in Lexington before reaching the quarter-finals of the US Open. Yes, the opposition is rising here, but Kontaveit is far from the toughest opponent she could have faced at this stage of the competition. The 21st seed is particularly prone to its second serve.
Granted, Kontaveit has won both previous meetings, but one was 2014 and the last one, Wimbledon in 2019, was decided 6-4 in the third. With recent form, I think Rogers can turn the tables here and take the win.
Known for its high working speed and quick starts, JOSH WARRINGTON will try to use his quick hands and feet from the start, and his cyclones can be overwhelming when he puts his punches together, as Takoucht will testify.
He could be forgiven for having trouble standing up for this one if he drops the class and is likely to win with ease, but he does seem to struggle a bit after being fired and seems desperate to take his frustrations against someone. Unfortunately for Lara, someone and the younger man may have difficulty reaching that 10-round player’s half-time mark against an opponent a few levels above him.
At best, Martinez has the style and speed of work to give the skillful ZELFA BARRETT All sorts of problems as he fights small and trudges relentlessly forward behind a high guard before working well inside. However, a slower, inactive, and older version of Martinez might be perfect to keep the ‘Brown Flash’ sparkling.
True to his nickname, he has lightning-fast hands, highlighted by a very effective thrust that he throws from the hip, and also counters very well, meaning the oncoming visitor could eat lots of shots if he wanted to go inside to land his own have. The leading left hand from the Orthodox stance is a strong one, as evidenced by its last two interruptions, and it can wear down the aging visitor, who grants economies of scale as he rises to super featherweight, for a third straight win.
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