At the start of the Super Bowl hangover, Monday morning the NBA lines have the perfect opportunity to serve as the dog’s hair. With eight games there are sure to be plenty of lines available to bet on, but few offer usable opportunities based on what they have opened up.
As always, my first two top bets are listed below, along with the respective book where you can find the odds listed.
Golden State Warriors (+1) at San Antonio Spurs (-115, FanDuel Sportsbook)
Given the Spurs winning in a row, the books seem to add a bit of topicality to them despite LaMarcus Aldridge’s recent absence. On the flip side, the Warriors have lost two of their last three games, but averaged just over 128 points in that time. With Stephen Curry playing at his MVP level it will be incredibly difficult for the Spurs to have any sort of battle against him as they rank 10th in the league against all five of his player traits (as per FTN’s advanced DvP tool) shunting); primary ball handler (22nd), superstar (22nd), goalscorer (25th), dimer (26th) and smart finisher (30th). With Curry performing at a fraction of the level he’s been playing lately, sledding will be tough for the Spurs as favorites.
Oklahoma City Thunder (+12.5) at Los Angeles Lakers (-110, BetMGM)
While the Thunder have recently been ravaged by injuries and the league’s health and safety protocols, they have remained one of the more competitive teams in the NBA. In the last three games they were 2-1, with their loss being a three-point loss to the Timberwolves. Obviously, the Lakers are a bigger job than any other team they’ve played lately, but they’ve also just been forced into overtime against the Detroit Pistons. The +8.9 point differential combined with the Thunder’s -6.4 point differential makes this seem like a dramatic opening spread, especially when you factor in the fact that both Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Al Horford are active should for this game.